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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$6.3K
565 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 352 traders · 10 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

23 YESvs33 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 22 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+184 new YES$1.7K+215 new NO$12.5K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 61 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales26 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 42% of the money is not a bet
$615 of $4.1K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $51·NO $2.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$927
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$785(-84.7%)
Whales
23
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,104.6 shares·also $748 on NO
$-552INV $552 · WR 58.6%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.3%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 37¢·103 shares
$-38INV $38 · WR 68.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $11 on NO
$-11INV $11 · WR 70.3%
R
riverunit85hedged
Entry 19¢·30 shares·also $25 on NO
+$10INV $6 · WR 57.3%
Z
zhangyuan
Entry 50¢·10 shares
$-5INV $5 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 23

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…