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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.6K
2,088 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 750 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

43 YESvs77 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+463 new YES$11.7K+462 new NO$35.4K
$14.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 206 buyers — left out of momentum
40 smart whales75 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 50% of the money is not a bet
$465 of $4.6K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $294·NO $2.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-96.6%)
Whales
43
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $726 on NO
$-728INV $750 · WR 58.6%
A
ApexUpDown🥈
Entry 67¢·230.4 shares
$-150INV $153 · WR 63.8%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-56INV $58 · WR 61.3%
J
jocarlo
Entry 26¢·150 shares
$-37INV $39 · WR 62.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-36INV $38 · WR 56.8%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 49¢·50.4 shares·also $40 on NO
$-24INV $25 · WR 57.9%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 55¢·34.5 shares
$-19INV $19 · WR 62.1%
L
lelimarkethedged
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $16 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 43

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…