🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$17.0K
1,902 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 680 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

74 YESvs38 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 57 YES vs 20 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+473 new YES$24.2K+383 new NO$9.7K
$11.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 202 buyers — left out of momentum
71 smart whales36 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 50% of the money is not a bet
$458 of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6K·NO $578
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+49.5%)
Whales
74
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,362.9 shares·also $656 on NO
+$675INV $681 · WR 58.6%
M
moneymaker748🥈
Entry 98¢·300 shares
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.4%
B
0xb543fd77...🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·285.1 shares·also $14 on NO
+$92INV $192 · WR 55.1%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 65¢·235.6 shares
+$81INV $154 · WR 63.8%
U
UpandDownSyndrome
Entry 93¢·137.1 shares
+$9INV $128 · WR 62.8%
F
fvpmvp
Entry 92¢·136 shares
+$10INV $125 · WR 76.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
$-56INV $116 · WR 62.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
+$57INV $58 · WR 61.3%
Showing top 10 of 74

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 66% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…