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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$21.6K
1,967 trades
Smart Whales
100
of 711 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

52 YESvs73 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 37 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+435 new YES$15.5K+470 new NO$27.7K
$15.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 227 buyers — left out of momentum
48 smart whales71 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 43% of the money is not a bet
$487 of $4.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-94.3%)
Whales
52
O
owengo123🥇
Entry 77¢·1,216.8 shares
$-903INV $933 · WR 58.9%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,093.8 shares·also $698 on NO
$-520INV $547 · WR 58.6%
A
ApexUpDown🥉
Entry 70¢·216.6 shares
$-147INV $153 · WR 63.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-86INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-86INV $90 · WR 55.0%
S
sixty-two
Entry 74¢·96.2 shares
$-68INV $71 · WR 58.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-55INV $58 · WR 61.3%
W
Wizard2121hedged
Entry 76¢·59.6 shares·also $2 on NO
$-44INV $45 · WR 60.6%
A
aaa221hedged
Entry 52¢·80 shares·also $19 on NO
$-40INV $42 · WR 62.1%
M
Metallic-Headrest
Entry 67¢·60 shares
$-38INV $40 · WR 62.9%
Showing top 10 of 52

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…