Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$29.7K
2,922 trades
Smart Whales
138
of 1,029 traders · 27 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
84 YESvs81 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 60 YES vs 43 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+692 new YES$46.8K+689 new NO$25.0K
$21.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 305 buyers — left out of momentum
103 smart whales95 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$38 of $4.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 25 wallets. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $538YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-61.4%)
Whales
84
H
HYPER-TRADER004🥇
Entry 85¢·797.8 shares
Invested
$676
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-477
$-477INV $676 · WR 63.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·838.8 shares·also $532 on NO
Invested
$419
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-210
$-210INV $419 · WR 58.7%
M
moneymaker748🥉
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $294 · WR 91.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 77¢·257.4 shares·also $96 on NO
Invested
$197
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $197 · WR 55.0%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 73¢·209.7 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $153 · WR 64.5%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 83¢·152 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$126
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $126 · WR 60.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $125 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 58¢·204.5 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $118 · WR 56.2%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $116 · WR 61.9%
J
Juruno
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $95 · WR 94.0%
Showing top 10 of 84
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+121.1%)
Whales
81
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,063 shares·also $419 on YES
Invested
$532
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$266
+$266INV $532 · WR 58.7%
B
0xb543fd77...🥈hedged
Entry 31¢·311.5 shares·also $197 on YES
Invested
$96
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $96 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $85 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $90 · WR 55.0%
L
LuckyRabit
Entry 51¢·144.7 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $73 · WR 58.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 47¢·142.1 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $66 · WR 56.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $60 · WR 61.2%
M
Mom1m
Entry 75¢·66.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $50 · WR 79.2%
S
Safe-Howitzer-Ecliptic
Entry 31¢·150 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $47 · WR 56.3%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $38 · WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 81
Smart Whale Trades
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