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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$34.0K
3,539 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 1,101 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

69 YESvs87 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 45 YES vs 50 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+626 new YES$18.6K+714 new NO$49.4K
$20.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 274 buyers — left out of momentum
69 smart whales81 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 49% of the money is not a bet
$135 of $4.8K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $601·NO $1.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$844(-46.5%)
Whales
69
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·832.6 shares·also $616 on NO
$-333INV $416 · WR 58.7%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈hedged
Entry 49¢·441.2 shares·also $419 on NO
$-172INV $217 · WR 61.7%
1
13897651🥉
Entry 51¢·241.5 shares
$-99INV $123 · WR 56.2%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 48¢·212.6 shares·also $90 on NO
$-80INV $102 · WR 55.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 25¢·411.5 shares·also $373 on NO
$-60INV $101 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 43¢·211.7 shares·also $90 on NO
$-69INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 44¢·127.9 shares·also $60 on NO
$-44INV $56 · WR 61.2%
S
Serene-Impression
Entry 42¢·125 shares
$-40INV $52 · WR 75.6%
T
trxtrxtrx
Entry 41¢·112.7 shares
$-34INV $46 · WR 75.4%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 28¢·136.1 shares·also $38 on NO
$-25INV $39 · WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 69

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…