Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$16.3K
1,746 trades
Smart Whales
103
of 759 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
83 YESvs43 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+566 new YES$26.1K+350 new NO$6.4K
$7.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 187 buyers — left out of momentum
84 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 80% of the money is not a bet
$1.6K of $2.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $730 is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $393·NO $191YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$262(-5.6%)
Whales
83
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,454.8 shares·also $723 on NO
Invested
$727
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$618
+$618INV $727 · WR 58.7%
V
V612🥈
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $495 · WR 91.9%
X
x317🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·500 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$490
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-238
$-238INV $490 · WR 79.8%
H
hoodquant
Entry 98¢·309.4 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $304 · WR 87.8%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $294 · WR 91.3%
R
rkt.dev
Entry 99¢·250 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $248 · WR 91.3%
Y
yangkk
Entry 99¢·160 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $158 · WR 85.8%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 98¢·135 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $132 · WR 67.0%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $125 · WR 56.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $116 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 83
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$329(-23.4%)
Whales
43
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,445.3 shares·also $727 on YES
Invested
$723
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-614
$-614INV $723 · WR 58.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $110 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $116 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $90 · WR 55.0%
D
drew454586
Entry 15¢·406.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $61 · WR 76.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $60 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $38 · WR 66.4%
S
Spherical-bolt
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $35 · WR 62.9%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 35¢·75.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $26 · WR 58.0%
H
Haunting-Cheese
Entry 3¢·653.5 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$302
+$302INV $21 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 43
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 485ms