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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$370
28 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 30 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs37 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 23 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+259 new YES$4.5K+253 new NO$6.5K
$4.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 127 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$517 of $2.8K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $120·NO $586
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$990(-86.0%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,037 shares·also $742 on NO
$-451INV $519 · WR 58.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-78INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-78INV $90 · WR 55.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 40¢·168.7 shares·also $149 on NO
$-57INV $68 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-50INV $58 · WR 61.2%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 52¢·108 shares·also $33 on NO
$-49INV $56 · WR 56.2%
S
Spherical-bolt
Entry 51¢·100 shares
$-44INV $51 · WR 62.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-33INV $38 · WR 66.4%
S
Solid-Chemhedged
Entry 36¢·73.5 shares·also $101 on NO
$-21INV $26 · WR 66.0%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-16INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…