Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2.6K
133 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 106 traders · 16 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs37 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+241 new YES$7.2K+266 new NO$11.1K
$4.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 98 buyers — left out of momentum
18 smart whales28 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$689 of $3.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $618·NO $577YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-66.2%)
Whales
26
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,345 shares·also $750 on NO
Invested
$672
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-451
$-451INV $672 · WR 58.7%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 46¢·920.7 shares
Invested
$421
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-269
$-269INV $421 · WR 61.7%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 56¢·168.5 shares·also $302 on NO
Invested
$94
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $94 · WR 56.2%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $90 · WR 55.9%
J
jngg
Entry 46¢·133 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $61 · WR 57.5%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $60 · WR 61.2%
T
TickRat
Entry 53¢·98 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $52 · WR 61.0%
4
0x471dd149...
Entry 53¢·78.3 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $42 · WR 59.1%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $38 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+58.3%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $672 on YES
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$503
+$503INV $750 · WR 58.7%
1
13897651🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·535.2 shares·also $94 on YES
Invested
$302
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $302 · WR 56.2%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $60 · WR 61.2%
M
Metallic-Headrest
Entry 65¢·57.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $38 · WR 63.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $38 · WR 66.4%
I
Itpit
Entry 58¢·53.3 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $31 · WR 76.9%
A
aagz
Entry 69¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 37
Smart Whale Trades
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