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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$17.2K
1,440 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 670 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

36 YESvs67 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+341 new YES$7.1K+447 new NO$27.3K
$7.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 150 buyers — left out of momentum
29 smart whales60 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 33% of the money is not a bet
$210 of $5.8K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $247·NO $3.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-99.3%)
Whales
36
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,179.5 shares·also $689 on NO
$-589INV $590 · WR 58.7%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 42¢·225.4 shares
$-94INV $94 · WR 61.7%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $57 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 41¢·84.7 shares·also $18 on NO
$-35INV $35 · WR 69.8%
C
chris.white
Entry 39¢·85.2 shares
$-33INV $33 · WR 59.1%
T
TickRat
Entry 50¢·52.2 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 10 of 36

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…