Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$18.2K
1,628 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 735 traders · 22 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
66 YESvs42 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 50 YES vs 22 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+517 new YES$28.6K+376 new NO$7.9K
$7.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 186 buyers — left out of momentum
65 smart whales33 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 38% of the money is not a bet
$482 of $5.7K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $3.0K·NO $582YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+39.6%)
Whales
66
H
HYPER-TRADER004🥇
Entry 98¢·689.2 shares
Invested
$674
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $674 · WR 63.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,261.2 shares·also $566 on NO
Invested
$631
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$624
+$624INV $631 · WR 58.7%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·607.4 shares
Invested
$601
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $601 · WR 67.0%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 48¢·465 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $225 · WR 61.7%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 52¢·331.2 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$172
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $172 · WR 56.2%
Y
yangkk
Entry 95¢·166.7 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $159 · WR 85.8%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·129.8 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.9%
A
Art-of-Chance
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $95 · WR 86.4%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 67¢·135 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $91 · WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 66
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-98.4%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,132 shares·also $631 on YES
Invested
$566
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-560
$-560INV $566 · WR 58.7%
I
Itpit🥈hedged
Entry 51¢·808.4 shares·also $85 on YES
Invested
$414
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-410
$-410INV $414 · WR 76.9%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
L
lelimarket
Entry 57¢·123.2 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $70 · WR 58.0%
2
0x2ae0d7d2...
Entry 52¢·121.8 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $63 · WR 77.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 57¢·44.5 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 42
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