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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.3K
1,862 trades
Smart Whales
91
of 804 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs63 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 45 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+434 new YES$12.5K+546 new NO$34.2K
$13.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 202 buyers — left out of momentum
46 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$689 of $6.4K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $311·NO $3.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-97.9%)
Whales
51
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,391.9 shares·also $678 on NO
$-689INV $696 · WR 58.7%
1
13897651🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·197 shares·also $63 on NO
$-101INV $102 · WR 56.2%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
O
ohioism
Entry 70¢·101.6 shares
$-70INV $71 · WR 60.1%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.2%
S
Slow-Minute
Entry 30¢·75 shares
$-22INV $22 · WR 95.5%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…