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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.5K
2,377 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 854 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs66 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 47 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+536 new YES$18.6K+536 new NO$26.3K
$21.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 239 buyers — left out of momentum
50 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 51% of the money is not a bet
$532 of $4.5K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $286·NO $1.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-98.0%)
Whales
51
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,341 shares·also $634 on NO
$-664INV $671 · WR 58.7%
1
13897651🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·215.2 shares·also $67 on NO
$-115INV $117 · WR 56.2%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 49¢·125 shares·also $60 on NO
$-61INV $62 · WR 61.2%
A
aagzhedged
Entry 40¢·120 shares·also $33 on NO
$-47INV $48 · WR 55.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 53¢·48.1 shares
$-25INV $26 · WR 68.2%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 10¢·222.2 shares
$-20INV $21 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…