Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$798
2,253 trades
Smart Whales
101
of 836 traders · 32 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
70 YESvs63 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 42 YES vs 39 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+515 new YES$24.9K+523 new NO$17.6K
$18.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 243 buyers — left out of momentum
65 smart whales52 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$823 of $5.9K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+32.7%)
Whales
70
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·830.5 shares
Invested
$822
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-586
$-586INV $822 · WR 64.2%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,187.2 shares·also $705 on NO
Invested
$594
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$588
+$588INV $594 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $360 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
A
Aniu7
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $200 · WR 89.7%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 45¢·404.4 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$182
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $182 · WR 61.7%
V
Vihaan123
Entry 42¢·385.2 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $161 · WR 64.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 60¢·202.3 shares·also $121 on NO
Invested
$121
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $121 · WR 55.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 70
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-98.6%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,410 shares·also $594 on YES
Invested
$705
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-698
$-698INV $705 · WR 58.7%
C
CoolFong🥈
Entry 74¢·693 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-506
$-506INV $510 · WR 66.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-359
$-359INV $363 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 47¢·773.5 shares·also $182 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $360 · WR 61.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 59¢·205.1 shares·also $121 on YES
Invested
$121
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $121 · WR 55.0%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 57¢·146.2 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $83 · WR 56.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $62 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
P
pnyyhedged
Entry 58¢·93.3 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $54 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 63
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