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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$28.0K
2,541 trades
Smart Whales
122
of 996 traders · 34 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

70 YESvs86 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 43 YES vs 65 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+564 new YES$20.2K+672 new NO$38.9K
$23.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 268 buyers — left out of momentum
64 smart whales87 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 42% of the money is not a bet
$482 of $7.2K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $778·NO $3.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-96.6%)
Whales
70
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,047.8 shares·also $585 on NO
$-519INV $524 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $365 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.4%
A
ApexUpDown🥉
Entry 61¢·252.3 shares
$-153INV $154 · WR 64.5%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 55¢·279.5 shares·also $86 on NO
$-151INV $152 · WR 56.2%
U
Uak
Entry 51¢·203.7 shares
$-103INV $104 · WR 56.1%
T
thantii
Entry 84¢·120.4 shares
$-101INV $101 · WR 87.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.2%
A
aagz
Entry 70¢·80 shares
$-56INV $56 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 70

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…