Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2
1,307 trades
Smart Whales
91
of 657 traders · 18 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
85 YESvs24 NO
78%22%
78% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 72 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges
+497 new YES$44.7K+238 new NO$4.1K
$3.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 112 buyers — left out of momentum
78 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$928 of $13.0K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $10.4K·NO $95YES Team
Total Invested
$12.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+15.2%)
Whales
85
H
Haunting-Cheese🥇
Entry 99¢·3,008 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $3.0K · WR 55.3%
7
7kFromBigYahu🥈
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1.5K · WR 93.8%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·981.2 shares
Invested
$971
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $971 · WR 87.8%
D
0xd33d0d18...
Entry 100¢·900 shares
Invested
$899
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $899 · WR 82.7%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·1,434.4 shares·also $532 on NO
Invested
$717
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$716
+$716INV $717 · WR 58.7%
B
B-5-T
Entry 99¢·666 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $660 · WR 59.4%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·406 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $402 · WR 68.3%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 100¢·400.4 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $400 · WR 87.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $360 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $294 · WR 91.3%
Showing top 10 of 85
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-99.3%)
Whales
24
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,064.2 shares·also $717 on YES
Invested
$532
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-532
$-532INV $532 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-362
$-362INV $363 · WR 56.4%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
V
Vihaan123
Entry 31¢·200 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $62 · WR 64.3%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.2%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $94 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 27¢·86.7 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 68.2%
W
w-03hedged
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 56.6%
W
w-05both sides
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 24
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