Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$27.8K
2,537 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 766 traders · 30 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs63 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 47 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+489 new YES$24.1K+479 new NO$32.0K
$28.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 236 buyers — left out of momentum
46 smart whales61 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 57% of the money is not a bet
$670 of $5.3K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $290·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-96.5%)
Whales
49
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·785.2 shares·also $550 on NO
Invested
$393
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-389
$-389INV $393 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-354
$-354INV $358 · WR 56.4%
E
EZTRADNL1🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·218.3 shares·also $140 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $118 · WR 62.1%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 60¢·191.7 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $116 · WR 55.0%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
A
ApexTitan
Entry 64¢·121 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $77 · WR 75.9%
I
Itpithedged
Entry 84¢·90.7 shares·also $190 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $76 · WR 76.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 68¢·56.3 shares·also $41 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+61.8%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,099.2 shares·also $393 on YES
Invested
$550
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$544
+$544INV $550 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $358 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$359
+$359INV $363 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748🥉
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
A
algodream
Entry 99¢·202 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $200 · WR 64.2%
I
Itpithedged
Entry 59¢·323.8 shares·also $76 on YES
Invested
$190
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $190 · WR 76.9%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 52¢·267.7 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$140
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $140 · WR 62.1%
U
UpandDownSyndromehedged
Entry 81¢·162.1 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$131
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $131 · WR 62.9%
V
Vihaan123
Entry 65¢·200 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $130 · WR 64.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 63
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