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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$6
34 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 43 traders · 26 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

40 YESvs38 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 16 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+299 new YES$7.3K+287 new NO$9.7K
$7.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 133 buyers — left out of momentum
29 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 73% of the money is not a bet
$1.5K of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 14 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $810·NO $352
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$706(-29.7%)
Whales
40
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,498 shares·also $727 on NO
$-202INV $749 · WR 58.7%
C
CoolFong🥈
Entry 60¢·856 shares
$-202INV $515 · WR 66.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $370 on NO
$-101INV $373 · WR 56.4%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 62¢·246.4 shares
$-64INV $154 · WR 64.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-24INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-24INV $90 · WR 55.0%
B
0xb543fd77...
Entry 43¢·141.7 shares
$-9INV $61 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-16INV $60 · WR 61.2%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-10INV $38 · WR 66.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-10INV $38 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 40

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 56% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…