Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.3K
2,304 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 748 traders · 30 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
72 YESvs63 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 52 YES vs 36 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+497 new YES$28.3K+508 new NO$20.5K
$22.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 236 buyers — left out of momentum
68 smart whales54 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 47% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $6.0K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $618YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+49.6%)
Whales
72
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,373.3 shares·also $487 on NO
Invested
$687
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$680
+$680INV $687 · WR 58.7%
M
mia1111🥈
Entry 99¢·438.7 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $434 · WR 67.0%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·387.1 shares
Invested
$383
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $383 · WR 87.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·719.6 shares·also $356 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $360 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 47¢·466.3 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $220 · WR 61.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 69¢·188.9 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$130
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $130 · WR 55.0%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $116 · WR 61.9%
U
UpandDownSyndrome
Entry 97¢·107.9 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $105 · WR 62.9%
Showing top 10 of 72
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-95.5%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·973.4 shares·also $687 on YES
Invested
$487
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-482
$-482INV $487 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·712.4 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$356
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $356 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·309.9 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$169
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $169 · WR 56.2%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 72¢·212.7 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $153 · WR 64.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $62 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 28¢·208.9 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 62.1%
A
aagz
Entry 78¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 55.3%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 63
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