Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$31.4K
1,937 trades
Smart Whales
100
of 860 traders · 28 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
85 YESvs43 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 67 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges
+609 new YES$56.8K+408 new NO$5.9K
$6.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 192 buyers — left out of momentum
85 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$594 of $11.3K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $9.6K·NO $125YES Team
Total Invested
$10.4K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$949(+9.1%)
Whales
85
H
Haunting-Cheese🥇
Entry 100¢·6,636 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6.6K · WR 55.3%
C
ClobCleaner🥈
Entry 100¢·500.5 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
93.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $500 · WR 93.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$365
+$365INV $365 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $294 · WR 91.3%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 100¢·248.8 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $249 · WR 87.0%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 99¢·224 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $222 · WR 91.8%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 98¢·200 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $196 · WR 82.8%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 98¢·135 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $132 · WR 67.0%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·119.9 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 85
NO Team
Total Invested
$949
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$942(-99.3%)
Whales
43
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-375
$-375INV $375 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·172.3 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$86
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 58.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.2%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
W
w-08hedged
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 43
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