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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$10
29 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 39 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs71 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+282 new YES$3.8K+418 new NO$22.0K
$5.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 128 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 57% of the money is not a bet
$586 of $4.1K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $272·NO $1.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-98.7%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,268.1 shares·also $406 on NO
$-627INV $634 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $368 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 45¢·79 shares·also $68 on NO
$-35INV $36 · WR 58.0%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 45¢·48 shares
$-21INV $22 · WR 61.7%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
W
w-03hedged
Entry 49¢·31.1 shares·also $11 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 56.6%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·24.5 shares·also $38 on NO
$-12INV $12 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…