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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20.7K
1,789 trades
Smart Whales
110
of 689 traders · 32 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

46 YESvs96 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 81 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+377 new YES$6.5K+583 new NO$54.5K
$8.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 198 buyers — left out of momentum
37 smart whales86 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$519 of $8.8K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $148·NO $6.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-94.6%)
Whales
46
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·812.2 shares·also $336 on NO
$-406INV $406 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·700 shares·also $365 on NO
$-350INV $350 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·124 shares·also $172 on NO
$-67INV $67 · WR 56.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.2%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 5¢·799.9 shares·also $792 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 67.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
H
Haunting-Cheese
Entry 2¢·1,323.7 shares
$-28INV $28 · WR 55.3%
D
Dubravko
Entry 56¢·38.1 shares
$-21INV $21 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 46

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21…