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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$42
1,907 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 714 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

27 YESvs86 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 79 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+266 new YES$8.5K+560 new NO$41.2K
$7.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 142 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$836 of $7.5K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $52·NO $5.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-99.9%)
Whales
27
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,016 shares·also $514 on NO
$-507INV $508 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·724.3 shares·also $359 on NO
$-362INV $362 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-55INV $55 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 40¢·93.8 shares
$-37INV $37 · WR 61.7%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 38¢·30 shares
$-11INV $11 · WR 68.2%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 25¢·44 shares·also $68 on NO
$-11INV $11 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 27

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 23% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20…