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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$42
1,270 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 589 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs65 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 49 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+289 new YES$5.4K+412 new NO$25.4K
$6.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 146 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales54 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 65% of the money is not a bet
$1.5K of $4.5K is held equally on both sides by 11 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $92·NO $1.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-98.8%)
Whales
33
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,436 shares·also $641 on NO
$-711INV $718 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $375 on NO
$-369INV $373 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.4%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 34¢·63.6 shares·also $74 on NO
$-21INV $21 · WR 58.0%
C
clearbasis22hedged
Entry 23¢·84.7 shares·also $68 on NO
$-19INV $19 · WR 57.8%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20…