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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$16.4K
2,049 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 793 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

45 YESvs75 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 63 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+468 new YES$7.6K+566 new NO$37.7K
$9.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 211 buyers — left out of momentum
37 smart whales73 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 34% of the money is not a bet
$302 of $7.9K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.4K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $388·NO $4.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-97.9%)
Whales
45
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,332 shares·also $750 on NO
$-659INV $666 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $370 on NO
$-359INV $363 · WR 56.4%
W
Wide-Swordfish-Latitude🥉
Entry 53¢·502.8 shares
$-263INV $265 · WR 55.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·125.5 shares·also $60 on NO
$-62INV $62 · WR 60.9%
A
aagzhedged
Entry 23¢·224.7 shares·also $179 on NO
$-49INV $51 · WR 55.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
E
0xe859d0bf...
Entry 41¢·89.7 shares
$-36INV $37 · WR 57.9%
M
Metallic-Headrest
Entry 30¢·65.7 shares
$-20INV $20 · WR 63.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 45

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20…