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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$19.6K
2,054 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 771 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

64 YESvs33 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 50 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+522 new YES$29.5K+433 new NO$10.0K
$13.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 214 buyers — left out of momentum
62 smart whales28 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 57% of the money is not a bet
$300 of $4.2K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $69
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+55.7%)
Whales
64
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,209.5 shares·also $530 on NO
+$599INV $605 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·715.2 shares·also $368 on NO
+$354INV $358 · WR 56.4%
V
valeron92🥉
Entry 79¢·384.4 shares
+$78INV $305 · WR 84.2%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
D
drew454586
Entry 86¢·220 shares
+$30INV $189 · WR 85.7%
1
13897651
Entry 58¢·217.4 shares
+$90INV $126 · WR 56.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·121.1 shares·also $60 on NO
+$60INV $61 · WR 60.9%
Showing top 10 of 64

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 64% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20…