Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.1K
83 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 76 traders · 19 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
38 YESvs32 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+386 new YES$13.1K+314 new NO$9.7K
$12.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 173 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 84% of the money is not a bet
$1.6K of $3.4K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $270·NO $269YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$878(+51.0%)
Whales
38
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,397 shares·also $696 on NO
Invested
$698
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$398
+$398INV $698 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $363 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$209
+$209INV $368 · WR 56.4%
H
hevenshine🥉
Entry 61¢·163.6 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $99 · WR 56.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 63¢·135 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$86
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $86 · WR 56.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 52¢·128.1 shares·also $82 on NO
Invested
$67
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $67 · WR 56.3%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 51¢·125 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$64
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $64 · WR 60.9%
D
drew454586
Entry 79¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 85.7%
A
aagzhedged
Entry 56¢·53.5 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $30 · WR 55.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 52¢·50 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $26 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 38
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$970(-56.5%)
Whales
32
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,393 shares·also $698 on YES
Invested
$696
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-397
$-397INV $696 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-207
$-207INV $363 · WR 56.4%
V
valeron92🥉
Entry 51¢·202.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $104 · WR 84.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $90 · WR 55.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 55¢·148.7 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$82
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $82 · WR 56.3%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 36¢·170.9 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $61 · WR 58.5%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $64 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $60 · WR 60.9%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $86 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $38 · WR 56.9%
B
billionareman
Entry 50¢·62.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $31 · WR 73.8%
A
aagzhedged
Entry 45¢·55 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $25 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 32
Smart Whale Trades
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