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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$10
2,357 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 798 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

37 YESvs72 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+463 new YES$13.4K+536 new NO$30.7K
$19.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 234 buyers — left out of momentum
29 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$110 of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $103·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-93.9%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,336.5 shares·also $724 on NO
$-635INV $668 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·729.6 shares·also $355 on NO
$-347INV $365 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 53¢·169.9 shares·also $99 on NO
$-86INV $90 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-71INV $75 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·125.1 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $62 · WR 60.9%
A
aagzhedged
Entry 39¢·125 shares·also $63 on NO
$-46INV $49 · WR 55.2%
L
Lonely-Dresser
Entry 46¢·51.2 shares
$-22INV $24 · WR 70.8%
Y
YJiICTUsGi
Entry 44¢·50 shares
$-21INV $22 · WR 58.0%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 34¢·49.7 shares·also $109 on NO
$-16INV $17 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 37

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20…