Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$11.9K
1,135 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 609 traders · 17 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs66 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 61 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+285 new YES$2.3K+400 new NO$21.5K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 104 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 41% of the money is not a bet
$241 of $6.8K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $23·NO $4.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-98.8%)
Whales
26
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,554.2 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$777
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-769
$-769INV $777 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 60.9%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.3%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
T
thesaadpro
Entry 21¢·50 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 67.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·15 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 56.9%
W
w-05both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 56.5%
W
w-10both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+34.0%)
Whales
66
B
BlackSugar.🥇
Entry 99¢·1,430.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.4K · WR 73.9%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,000 shares·also $777 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$990
+$990INV $1.0K · WR 58.7%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 98¢·434 shares
Invested
$425
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $425 · WR 87.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.4%
L
lsz111
Entry 89¢·338.2 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $302 · WR 84.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 63¢·202 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$127
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $127 · WR 56.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.4%
N
NHY1
Entry 90¢·117.5 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $106 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 66
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