Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$14.1K
1,585 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 764 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs68 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 55 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+404 new YES$6.7K+509 new NO$24.2K
$7.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 179 buyers — left out of momentum
27 smart whales62 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 64% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $5.0K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $147·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-91.0%)
Whales
36
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,689.2 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$845
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-802
$-802INV $845 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $375 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $90 · WR 55.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 53¢·135.3 shares·also $161 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $72 · WR 56.3%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $55 · WR 60.9%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 44¢·107.8 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $48 · WR 61.8%
D
Dumbfool
Entry 42¢·100 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $42 · WR 63.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 56.9%
L
leosnow
Entry 36¢·100.3 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $37 · WR 79.0%
A
AveChristusRexhedged
Entry 44¢·65 shares·also $41 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $29 · WR 57.3%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$774(+14.1%)
Whales
68
B
BlackSugar.🥇
Entry 99¢·1,416.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-701
$-701INV $1.4K · WR 73.9%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,000 shares·also $845 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$950
+$950INV $1.0K · WR 58.7%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·766.7 shares
Invested
$759
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-380
$-380INV $759 · WR 67.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $375 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $294 · WR 91.3%
V
valeron92
Entry 90¢·196.6 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $176 · WR 84.2%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·301.2 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$161
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $161 · WR 56.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $125 · WR 56.0%
A
Art-of-Chance
Entry 98¢·125 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $123 · WR 86.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $116 · WR 61.4%
Showing top 10 of 68
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