Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$565
91 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 81 traders · 9 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs17 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+198 new YES$3.0K+182 new NO$3.3K
$2.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 82 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 92% of the money is not a bet
$826 of $3.2K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $73·NO $166YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$134(-8.8%)
Whales
12
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,968.7 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$984
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $984 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $375 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·116.3 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$59
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $59 · WR 56.3%
G
guyu168
Entry 46¢·109.4 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 55.6%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 56.3%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $19 · WR 58.0%
W
w-05both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 56.5%
W
w-03both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 56.3%
W
w-10both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 59.7%
F
fly33499y
Entry 50¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.5%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$129(+7.9%)
Whales
17
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·2,000 shares·also $984 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $1.0K · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $375 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 50¢·124 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $62 · WR 61.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 55¢·107.8 shares·also $59 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $59 · WR 56.3%
R
romanlambert
Entry 59¢·87.7 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $52 · WR 69.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 58.0%
C
Carboncruncher
Entry 58¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 60.1%
S
Shlomik55
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 63.7%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·12.8 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 56.3%
W
w-05both sides
Entry 50¢·12 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 17
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