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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$18.3K
1,802 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 832 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

70 YESvs38 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 59 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+582 new YES$29.8K+418 new NO$6.8K
$7.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 199 buyers — left out of momentum
76 smart whales32 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 47% of the money is not a bet
$217 of $6.7K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.9K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $3.5K·NO $81
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+35.5%)
Whales
70
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,894.1 shares·also $896 on NO
+$938INV $947 · WR 58.7%
M
mia1111🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·800 shares·also $10 on NO
+$4INV $792 · WR 67.1%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 98¢·650.3 shares
+$7INV $640 · WR 87.1%
V
V612
Entry 99¢·500 shares
+$3INV $495 · WR 91.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $365 on NO
+$366INV $370 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.3%
R
Roberto60
Entry 99¢·183 shares
+$1INV $181 · WR 77.2%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
+$3INV $116 · WR 61.4%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·101 shares
+$1INV $100 · WR 88.4%
Showing top 10 of 70

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 65% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19…