Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$5
52 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 57 traders · 26 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
68 YESvs41 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 58 YES vs 17 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+531 new YES$37.7K+467 new NO$6.6K
$7.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 206 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales39 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$790 of $9.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $7.2K·NO $323YES Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+19.8%)
Whales
68
M
Marcos.vher🥇
Entry 98¢·5,418.3 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $5.3K · WR 77.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·842.5 shares·also $559 on NO
Invested
$421
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$421
+$421INV $421 · WR 58.7%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·587.3 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$379
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$208
+$208INV $379 · WR 56.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $369 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$367
+$367INV $368 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $294 · WR 91.3%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 98¢·135 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $132 · WR 67.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $116 · WR 61.4%
5
0x554dc888...
Entry 102¢·112.2 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $115 · WR 74.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 54¢·210 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $114 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 68
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-99.9%)
Whales
41
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,117.9 shares·also $421 on YES
Invested
$559
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-558
$-558INV $559 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·738 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$369
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-369
$-369INV $369 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $114 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
HuskyTradehedged
Entry 57¢·110.2 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $63 · WR 56.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 51¢·101.6 shares·also $379 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 56.3%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·95 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $48 · WR 58.5%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 41¢·100 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 56.2%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 64¢·60 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 58.6%
T
Totos41379
Entry 14¢·246.7 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 41
Smart Whale Trades
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