Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$370
45 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 41 traders · 20 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
52 YESvs30 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 42 YES vs 13 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+321 new YES$22.4K+310 new NO$3.4K
$3.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 107 buyers — left out of momentum
45 smart whales25 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$437 of $8.0K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $5.1K·NO $409YES Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+27.4%)
Whales
52
M
Marcos.vher🥇
Entry 93¢·4,346.6 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$303
+$303INV $4.0K · WR 77.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,185 shares·also $750 on NO
Invested
$593
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$587
+$587INV $593 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$369
+$369INV $373 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $294 · WR 91.3%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 62¢·322.6 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$199
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $199 · WR 56.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 61.4%
P
p-xhedged
Entry 97¢·100 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$97
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $97 · WR 58.9%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 60.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $58 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 52
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-98.8%)
Whales
30
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $593 on YES
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-743
$-743INV $750 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $373 on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 56.4%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 27¢·798.1 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $216 · WR 61.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 58.5%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.9%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 46¢·44.6 shares·also $199 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 56.3%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
P
pnyy
Entry 16¢·60 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 73.1%
Showing top 10 of 30
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 538ms