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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$50
63 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 53 traders · 15 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs39 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 30 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+275 new YES$4.1K+321 new NO$10.0K
$4.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 108 buyers — left out of momentum
24 smart whales42 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $3.2K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $105·NO $715
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$914(-70.7%)
Whales
24
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·893.8 shares·also $594 on NO
$-326INV $447 · WR 58.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $371 on NO
$-270INV $370 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-66INV $90 · WR 55.9%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 33¢·253 shares·also $172 on NO
$-50INV $84 · WR 58.6%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-44INV $60 · WR 60.9%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 41¢·143.1 shares·also $295 on NO
$-39INV $58 · WR 56.3%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·81 shares·also $36 on NO
$-30INV $41 · WR 58.5%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 45¢·67.3 shares
$-21INV $30 · WR 61.8%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 25¢·112.9 shares
$-13INV $28 · WR 58.5%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-18INV $25 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 38% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19…