Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$16.1K
1,827 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 782 traders · 22 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
46 YESvs84 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 70 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+421 new YES$7.0K+532 new NO$25.3K
$8.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 209 buyers — left out of momentum
47 smart whales89 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 45% of the money is not a bet
$1.0K of $4.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $115·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-90.8%)
Whales
46
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·725.2 shares·also $365 on NO
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-362
$-362INV $363 · WR 56.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·653.3 shares·also $626 on NO
Invested
$327
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-326
$-326INV $327 · WR 58.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
T
threnabolehedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 58.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 60.4%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 58.0%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 50¢·79 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $40 · WR 55.1%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.7%
V
vasd9falskd
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 60.1%
Y
YJiICTUsGihedged
Entry 52¢·47.5 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 46
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+43.4%)
Whales
84
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,252.5 shares·also $327 on YES
Invested
$626
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$626
+$626INV $626 · WR 58.4%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $363 on YES
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$365
+$365INV $365 · WR 56.4%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $297 · WR 67.0%
A
Art-of-Chance
Entry 99¢·250 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $246 · WR 86.2%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $245 · WR 91.2%
P
pnyy
Entry 83¢·164.9 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $137 · WR 73.8%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 49¢·271.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $133 · WR 61.9%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $116 · WR 60.9%
F
friendly-steward
Entry 99¢·102 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
92.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $101 · WR 92.6%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 88.4%
Showing top 10 of 84
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