Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$5
2,103 trades
Smart Whales
112
of 856 traders · 28 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
84 YESvs56 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 76 YES vs 27 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+559 new YES$29.2K+532 new NO$11.3K
$15.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 254 buyers — left out of momentum
90 smart whales55 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 48% of the money is not a bet
$130 of $5.9K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 26 wallets. True directional: YES $2.9K·NO $173YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+38.6%)
Whales
84
V
V612🥇
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $495 · WR 91.5%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·914.9 shares·also $264 on NO
Invested
$457
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$453
+$453INV $457 · WR 58.4%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$366
+$366INV $370 · WR 56.4%
K
Kino41hedged
Entry 90¢·335.9 shares·also $217 on NO
Invested
$302
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $302 · WR 55.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $245 · WR 91.2%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 55.5%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 66¢·179.4 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $118 · WR 59.0%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 99¢·118.9 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
92.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $118 · WR 92.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.9%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 54¢·210.4 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $114 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 84
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-96.5%)
Whales
56
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $370 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-354
$-354INV $358 · WR 56.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·527.4 shares·also $457 on YES
Invested
$264
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-261
$-261INV $264 · WR 58.4%
K
Kino41🥉hedged
Entry 32¢·669 shares·also $302 on YES
Invested
$217
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-214
$-214INV $217 · WR 55.4%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $114 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 46¢·164.1 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$76
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $76 · WR 59.0%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 40¢·179.4 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$72
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $72 · WR 59.0%
T
threnabolehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 58.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.4%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 56
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