Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$14.7K
1,536 trades
Smart Whales
69
of 494 traders · 16 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs56 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 40 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+236 new YES$2.7K+337 new NO$17.1K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 103 buyers — left out of momentum
18 smart whales51 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$1.2K of $4.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $88·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-90.8%)
Whales
29
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,105.9 shares·also $640 on NO
Invested
$553
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-536
$-536INV $553 · WR 58.4%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $373 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $375 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·145 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $73 · WR 58.0%
A
Adwanitohedged
Entry 62¢·113.3 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $70 · WR 66.3%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $60 · WR 58.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $60 · WR 60.4%
K
kakprotrades
Entry 52¢·100 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $52 · WR 65.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
9
0x998fc57b...
Entry 20¢·79 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+47.5%)
Whales
56
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,280 shares·also $553 on YES
Invested
$640
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$621
+$621INV $640 · WR 58.4%
X
x317🥈
Entry 98¢·499.7 shares
Invested
$490
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $490 · WR 79.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$361
+$361INV $373 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651
Entry 59¢·221.5 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $130 · WR 56.4%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $125 · WR 55.5%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $117 · WR 60.9%
H
hehexd69
Entry 89¢·129.1 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $115 · WR 59.0%
K
Koyama
Entry 98¢·107.2 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $105 · WR 93.0%
F
friendly-steward
Entry 50¢·194 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
92.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $97 · WR 92.6%
X
xlei
Entry 90¢·104.5 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $94 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 56
Smart Whale Trades
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