🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.8K
2,460 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 610 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

67 YESvs43 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 40 YES vs 20 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+429 new YES$21.8K+321 new NO$10.2K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 165 buyers — left out of momentum
58 smart whales34 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 63% of the money is not a bet
$607 of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $405
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+41.4%)
Whales
67
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,227 shares·also $493 on NO
+$595INV $614 · WR 58.4%
X
x317🥈
Entry 64¢·883.5 shares
$-122INV $568 · WR 79.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $368 on NO
+$352INV $363 · WR 56.4%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·300 shares
$-146INV $297 · WR 67.0%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
+$3INV $125 · WR 55.5%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 42¢·290 shares·also $11 on NO
+$165INV $121 · WR 59.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
+$2INV $117 · WR 60.9%
K
Koyama
Entry 96¢·107.2 shares
+$2INV $103 · WR 93.0%
X
xlei
Entry 87¢·107.8 shares
+$12INV $94 · WR 85.8%
J
jocarlo
Entry 46¢·200 shares
+$106INV $91 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 67

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 766ms
Smart money 61% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17…