Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$4
2,915 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 618 traders · 26 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
54 YESvs64 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 42 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+427 new YES$15.3K+455 new NO$21.2K
$11.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 204 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales52 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 38% of the money is not a bet
$717 of $5.7K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+53.4%)
Whales
54
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·1,173.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.2K · WR 63.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730.6 shares·also $353 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$362
+$362INV $365 · WR 56.4%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $297 · WR 67.0%
I
ijaosifjoiasfj
Entry 98¢·271.9 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $266 · WR 96.0%
M
magnsushedged
Entry 97¢·205.5 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$200
Win Rate
95.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $200 · WR 95.5%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·389.5 shares·also $264 on NO
Invested
$195
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $195 · WR 58.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 60.4%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 58.0%
U
UpandDownSyndromehedged
Entry 47¢·122.5 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $58 · WR 63.0%
Showing top 10 of 54
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-98.7%)
Whales
64
L
lsz111🥇
Entry 85¢·475.9 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-402
$-402INV $404 · WR 84.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·705.2 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$353
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-349
$-349INV $353 · WR 56.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·528.1 shares·also $195 on YES
Invested
$264
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-261
$-261INV $264 · WR 58.4%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 50¢·260 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$129
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $129 · WR 55.5%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 50¢·240 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $119 · WR 60.9%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
I
Ijustmightmakeit
Entry 68¢·124 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $85 · WR 55.1%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 81¢·99.8 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $81 · WR 56.9%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.4%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 64
Smart Whale Trades
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