Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.1K
134 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 76 traders · 11 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs22 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+196 new YES$2.5K+179 new NO$6.4K
$1.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 72 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$493 of $3.1K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $79·NO $375YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$640(-46.3%)
Whales
22
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,171.4 shares·also $641 on NO
Invested
$586
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-287
$-287INV $586 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-179
$-179INV $365 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $73 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $75 · WR 57.2%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $60 · WR 60.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $38 · WR 66.8%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 49¢·60.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $30 · WR 62.0%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $25 · WR 56.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$660(+39.3%)
Whales
22
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,281 shares·also $586 on YES
Invested
$641
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$314
+$314INV $641 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $375 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉
Entry 74¢·178.6 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $131 · WR 56.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·145 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $73 · WR 57.2%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $60 · WR 60.4%
O
ohioism
Entry 90¢·62.8 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $56 · WR 60.0%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $38 · WR 66.8%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 84¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $36 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 22
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