Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.2K
1,919 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 545 traders · 16 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
46 YESvs30 NO
61%40%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%· net of hedges
+367 new YES$16.6K+292 new NO$4.5K
$5.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 145 buyers — left out of momentum
42 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 70% of the money is not a bet
$217 of $3.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.5K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $1000·NO $154YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+53.6%)
Whales
46
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,252.5 shares·also $715 on NO
Invested
$626
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$557
+$557INV $626 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $363 · WR 56.4%
J
jhjhjhjhjh🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $125 · WR 55.2%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $117 · WR 60.6%
2
286F265f-178607406
Entry 97¢·108.2 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $105 · WR 92.2%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 71¢·135 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$96
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $96 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 71¢·135 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$96
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $96 · WR 56.7%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $90 · WR 55.8%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 49¢·138 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $68 · WR 62.0%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 75¢·80 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $60 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 46
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-84.8%)
Whales
30
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,430.8 shares·also $626 on YES
Invested
$715
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-637
$-637INV $715 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $363 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $358 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $60 · WR 57.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $60 · WR 60.4%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $38 · WR 66.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $38 · WR 56.7%
H
hehexd69hedged
Entry 30¢·67.2 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $20 · WR 59.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 51¢·25.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 59.2%
Showing top 10 of 30
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