🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.1K
3,058 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 703 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

77 YESvs46 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 67 YES vs 20 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+479 new YES$25.5K+386 new NO$6.7K
$8.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 189 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 52% of the money is not a bet
$37 of $4.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $290
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+46.7%)
Whales
77
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,158.5 shares·also $414 on NO
+$573INV $579 · WR 58.5%
A
algodream🥈
Entry 99¢·455.3 shares
$-221INV $451 · WR 63.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $345 on NO
+$366INV $370 · WR 56.4%
O
ohioism
Entry 84¢·253.3 shares
+$40INV $212 · WR 60.0%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
+$5INV $125 · WR 55.2%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 56¢·210.3 shares·also $90 on NO
+$92INV $117 · WR 55.8%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
+$3INV $117 · WR 60.6%
2
286F265f-178607406
Entry 97¢·108.2 shares
+$2INV $105 · WR 92.2%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 67¢·136.4 shares·also $38 on NO
+$44INV $92 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 67¢·136.4 shares·also $38 on NO
+$44INV $92 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 77

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 565ms
Smart money 66% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16…