Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$51.5K
6,202 trades
Smart Whales
184
of 1,215 traders · 33 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
149 YESvs68 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 112 YES vs 29 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+878 new YES$57.9K+616 new NO$14.2K
$20.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 309 buyers — left out of momentum
144 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$112 of $6.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 31 wallets. True directional: YES $2.4K·NO $453YES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$988(+13.7%)
Whales
149
R
Roberto60🥇
Entry 99¢·1,100.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-534
$-534INV $1.1K · WR 77.1%
P
Parhelion🥈
Entry 50¢·1,868.7 shares
Invested
$934
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $934 · WR 85.5%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·1,842.5 shares·also $980 on NO
Invested
$921
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$783
+$783INV $921 · WR 58.5%
L
lsz111
Entry 85¢·474.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $404 · WR 85.0%
A
algodream
Entry 99¢·382.4 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-185
$-185INV $379 · WR 63.6%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·742.3 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$371
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$315
+$315INV $371 · WR 56.4%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $245 · WR 91.2%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·200 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $198 · WR 67.1%
K
Konstantinopl
Entry 50¢·362.3 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $181 · WR 88.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 79¢·176.6 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$139
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $139 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 149
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-70.6%)
Whales
68
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,959.4 shares·also $921 on YES
Invested
$980
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-833
$-833INV $980 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $371 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-304
$-304INV $358 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·244.6 shares·also $109 on YES
Invested
$124
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $124 · WR 56.6%
L
Lonely-Dresser
Entry 31¢·387.4 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $120 · WR 72.2%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $90 · WR 55.8%
V
vasd9falskd
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $90 · WR 64.6%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $60 · WR 60.4%
K
karrigan1994
Entry 48¢·120 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $58 · WR 56.0%
G
GreenRedGuardsAtWorkhedged
Entry 23¢·168.1 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $38 · WR 61.9%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $38 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 68
Smart Whale Trades
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