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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$54
3,174 trades
Smart Whales
117
of 851 traders · 21 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

44 YESvs94 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 69 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+448 new YES$8.1K+561 new NO$29.0K
$9.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 192 buyers — left out of momentum
38 smart whales84 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 60% of the money is not a bet
$1.5K of $4.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $581·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-89.2%)
Whales
44
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,487.6 shares·also $750 on NO
$-707INV $744 · WR 58.5%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 27¢·1,712.1 shares
$-426INV $469 · WR 62.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·727 shares·also $370 on NO
$-345INV $364 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-71INV $75 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·135 shares·also $65 on NO
$-64INV $68 · WR 57.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 47¢·125.6 shares·also $60 on NO
$-56INV $59 · WR 60.4%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·56 shares
$-27INV $28 · WR 55.6%
T
tiuyahedged
Entry 35¢·65 shares·also $35 on NO
$-21INV $23 · WR 66.3%
O
Oval-Yoyo
Entry 19¢·107.7 shares
$-18INV $21 · WR 60.2%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxzhedged
Entry 58¢·32.3 shares·also $15 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 59.2%
Showing top 10 of 44

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16…