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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.5K
3,448 trades
Smart Whales
113
of 897 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs79 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 60 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+564 new YES$12.6K+576 new NO$31.2K
$14.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 271 buyers — left out of momentum
56 smart whales73 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$945 of $7.8K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 28 wallets. True directional: YES $644·NO $4.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-94.2%)
Whales
65
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,190 shares·also $670 on NO
$-589INV $595 · WR 58.5%
K
kolessov🥈
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
$-500INV $500 · WR 94.7%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 51¢·843.6 shares
$-425INV $429 · WR 62.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·726.6 shares·also $365 on NO
$-360INV $363 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
S
soswald1hedged
Entry 52¢·130 shares·also $103 on NO
$-67INV $67 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 49¢·130.5 shares·also $60 on NO
$-63INV $63 · WR 60.4%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 50¢·77.1 shares·also $38 on NO
$-38INV $39 · WR 56.2%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 56¢·65.8 shares·also $63 on NO
$-37INV $37 · WR 56.6%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·72.1 shares·also $34 on NO
$-36INV $36 · WR 57.2%
Showing top 10 of 65

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16…