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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$30.7K
2,633 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 726 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

49 YESvs74 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+406 new YES$7.2K+470 new NO$24.9K
$9.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 176 buyers — left out of momentum
42 smart whales67 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 39% of the money is not a bet
$222 of $6.1K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $293·NO $3.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-90.7%)
Whales
49
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,144 shares·also $621 on NO
$-571INV $572 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $375 on NO
$-365INV $365 · WR 56.4%
W
wdh333🥉
Entry 61¢·144.1 shares
$-87INV $87 · WR 73.5%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 51¢·150.1 shares·also $11 on NO
$-77INV $77 · WR 60.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.4%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·65 shares·also $33 on NO
$-32INV $33 · WR 57.2%
S
Startxb
Entry 61¢·47.5 shares
$-29INV $29 · WR 64.4%
M
mia1111
Entry 5¢·400 shares
$-21INV $21 · WR 67.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 49

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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