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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$29
200 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 94 traders · 5 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+123 new YES$5.0K+145 new NO$3.2K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 28 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 86% of the money is not a bet
$787 of $2.6K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $165·NO $193
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$493(+38.5%)
Whales
10
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,282 shares·also $750 on NO
+$276INV $641 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
+$161INV $375 · WR 56.4%
1
13897651🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·349.1 shares·also $78 on NO
+$40INV $210 · WR 56.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
+$8INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Z
zxzxzxzxzxzxz
Entry 67¢·13 shares
+$1INV $9 · WR 59.2%
T
tiuyahedged
Entry 54¢·15 shares·also $5 on NO
+$3INV $8 · WR 66.3%
X
xhftlm
Entry 67¢·10 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 58.0%
K
karibirkiss
Entry 53¢·11.8 shares
+$2INV $6 · WR 60.0%
G
gigahujan
Entry 54¢·9.6 shares
+$2INV $5 · WR 57.1%
F
fly33499y
Entry 50¢·5 shares
+$1INV $3 · WR 65.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 64% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15…