Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2.8K
255 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 126 traders · 17 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
59 YESvs21 NO
74%26%
74% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 52 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+420 new YES$31.0K+303 new NO$6.4K
$4.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 124 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales25 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$217 of $8.0K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $5.8K·NO $81YES Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+26.8%)
Whales
59
H
hoodquant🥇
Entry 99¢·1,292 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1.3K · WR 85.4%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,336.1 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$668
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$661
+$661INV $668 · WR 58.5%
H
hajimimanbolvdou🥉
Entry 98¢·600 shares
Invested
$589
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $589 · WR 74.6%
L
lsz111
Entry 94¢·426.5 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $401 · WR 84.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.4%
2
0x218748df...
Entry 99¢·320.4 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $318 · WR 61.3%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·303 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $300 · WR 67.6%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 67¢·433.5 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$292
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $292 · WR 56.6%
U
Uncomfortable-Explorer
Entry 93¢·281.4 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $260 · WR 89.2%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·250 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $245 · WR 91.1%
Showing top 10 of 59
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-98.5%)
Whales
21
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·740.9 shares·also $668 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-366
$-366INV $370 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-366
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·145 shares·also $70 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $73 · WR 57.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 60.6%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 29¢·156.6 shares·also $292 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $46 · WR 56.6%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 66.8%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.2%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 21
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