Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$53.7K
5,723 trades
Smart Whales
168
of 1,121 traders · 24 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
76 YESvs116 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 97 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+694 new YES$28.9K+747 new NO$57.0K
$24.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 311 buyers — left out of momentum
78 smart whales116 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$217 of $11.4K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $8.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-30.7%)
Whales
76
P
Pitiful-Laugh🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·1,350 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-669
$-669INV $1.4K · WR 74.9%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈
Entry 31¢·1,675.5 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $524 · WR 62.1%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·789.6 shares·also $338 on NO
Invested
$395
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-189
$-189INV $395 · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·715 shares·also $353 on NO
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $358 · WR 56.4%
S
Sophisticated-Pressurization
Entry 53¢·174.7 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $92 · WR 61.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $90 · WR 55.8%
Y
yuewei888
Entry 63¢·82 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $51 · WR 55.2%
D
dgg33
Entry 63¢·82 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $51 · WR 61.0%
A
ApexTitan
Entry 63¢·82 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $51 · WR 82.6%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 51¢·100 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $51 · WR 57.9%
Showing top 10 of 76
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-13.6%)
Whales
116
7
7kFromBigYahu🥇
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
$-407
$-407INV $1.5K · WR 91.6%
C
chairh4ter🥈
Entry 99¢·900 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-244
$-244INV $892 · WR 83.0%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·621 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $615 · WR 85.4%
X
x317hedged
Entry 99¢·500 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$495
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $495 · WR 79.7%
J
Jawako
Entry 98¢·500 shares
Invested
$492
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $492 · WR 87.7%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 99¢·400 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$396
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $396 · WR 67.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·705.1 shares·also $358 on YES
Invested
$353
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $353 · WR 56.4%
W
Witty-Reward
Entry 97¢·360 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $350 · WR 92.0%
A
arcsine-barristerhedged
Entry 50¢·675.2 shares·also $395 on YES
Invested
$338
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $338 · WR 58.5%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·303 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $300 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 116
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